Neural Information Processing Systems http://nips.cc/

Neural Information Processing Systems http://nips.cc/

Providing appropriate questions according to a student's knowledge level is imperative in personalized learning. However, It requires a lot of manual effort for teachers to understand students' knowledge status and provide optimal questions accordingly. To address this problem, we introduce a question scheduling model that can effectively boost student knowledge level using Reinforcement Learning (RL). Our proposed method first evaluates students' concept-level knowledge using knowledge tracing (KT) model. Given predicted student knowledge, RL-based recommender predicts the benefits of each question. With curriculum range restriction and duplicate penalty, the recommender selects questions sequentially until it reaches the predefined number of questions. In an experimental setting using a student simulator, which gives 20 questions per day for two weeks, questions recommended by the proposed method increased average student knowledge level by 21.3%, superior to an expert-designed schedule baseline with a 10% increase in student knowledge levels.

Forecasting high-dimensional time series plays a crucial role in many applications such as demand forecasting and financial predictions. Modern real-world datasets can have millions of correlated time-series that evolve together, i.e they are extremely high dimensional (one dimension for each individual time-series). Thus there is need for exploiting these global patterns and coupling them with local calibration for better prediction. However, most recent deep learning approaches in the literature are one-dimensional, i.e, even though they are trained on the whole dataset, during prediction, the future forecast for a single dimension mainly depends on past values from the same dimension. In this paper, we seek to correct this deficiency and propose DeepGLO, a deep forecasting model which thinks globally and acts locally. In particular, DeepGLO is a hybrid model that combines a global matrix factorization model regularized by a temporal deep network with a local deep temporal model that captures patterns specific to each dimension. The global and local models are combined via a data-driven attention mechanism for each dimension. The proposed deep architecture used is a variation of temporal convolution termed as leveled network which can be trained effectively on high-dimensional but diverse time series, where different time series can have vastly different scales, without a priori normalization or rescaling. Empirical results demonstrate that DeepGLO outperforms state-of-the-art approaches on various datasets; for example, we see more than 30% improvement in WAPE over other methods on a real-world dataset that contains more than 100K-dimensional time series.